Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 5, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 3
Rangers

Goldson (2' og.), Silva (77'), Nunez (90+1')
Otamendi (19')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Goncalves (24' og.), Kamara (25'), Morelos (51')

Rangers boss Steven Gerrard frustrated with failure to overcome Benfica

Rangers had to settle for a point after throwing away a two-goal lead against 10 men.

Nov 5, 21:35

The Match

Match Report

Alfredo Morelos surpassed Ally McCoist's European scoring record.

Preview

Sport Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Benfica and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible starting lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rangers
43.26%	23.46%	33.28%

Both teams to score 62.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02%

38.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.7%

61.29%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6%

18.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45%

49.54%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88%

57.12%

Score Analysis

Benfica 43.26%

Rangers 33.28%

Draw 23.46%

Benfica	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.71% 0-1 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.28%