Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.