Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Braga |
22.54% | 24.71% | 52.74% |
Both teams to score 50.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.24% | 51.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% | 73.53% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.21% | 37.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.44% | 74.56% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% | 19.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.47% | 51.53% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 5.2% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-4 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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