Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.