Benfica
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Benfica 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Saturday's game sees two of the "Big Three" in Portugal square off for cup glory and we can expect an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action. However, we are backing Sporting Lisbon to come away with a narrow win and extend their dominance domestically. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
45.14%	24.27%	30.58%

Both teams to score 58.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07%

43.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69%

66.32%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39%

19.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44%

51.56%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75%

27.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32%

62.68%

Score Analysis

Benfica 45.15%

Sporting Lisbon 30.58%

Draw 24.27%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.15%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.58%