Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Benfica1 - 1Moreirense
We said: Benfica 3-1 Moreirense
Benfica claimed a narrow victory against Moreirense in August, and with home advantage on Saturday, we think that they will have a slightly more comfortable afternoon as they bid to remain in touch with the league leaders. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
| 77.7% | 14.37% | 7.94% |
| Both teams to score 46.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% | 36.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% | 58.39% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.42% | 7.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.86% | 27.15% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.61% | 49.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.77% | 84.23% |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 77.69%
Moreirense 7.94%
Draw 14.37%
| Benfica | Draw | Moreirense |
| 2-0 @ 12.46% 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 7.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 4.87% 5-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.72% 6-0 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.64% Total : 77.69% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.75% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.7% Total : 14.37% | 0-1 @ 2.64% 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 7.94% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Moreirense
Benfica
96.6%Draw
3.4%Moreirense
0.0%29
Form Guide
