Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 3, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
We said: Tondela 1-1 Moreirense
After an underwhelming first half of the season, Tondela and Moreirense find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Both sides head into the game in similar form, winning just one in their last five games across all competitions. With that being said, we predict the spoils will be shared between the two evenly-matched sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 36.21% | 26.71% | 37.08% |
| Both teams to score 51.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
