Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
72.8% | 17.66% | 9.54% |
Both teams to score 42.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.7% | 46.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.41% | 68.59% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.74% | 11.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.13% | 35.87% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.65% | 86.35% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 14.1% 1-0 @ 12.92% 3-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 3.61% 5-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 72.79% | 1-1 @ 8.32% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 2.68% 0-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |