Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Leiston has a probability of 30.41% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win is 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.38%).
Result | ||
Leiston | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
30.41% ( 0.04) | 23.1% ( 0.01) | 46.49% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 62.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( -0.02) | 38.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.19% ( -0.02) | 60.81% ( 0.03) |
Leiston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( 0.02) | 24.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( 0.02) | 59.21% ( -0.02) |
AFC Hornchurch Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( -0.03) | 16.93% ( 0.03) |