FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road
Leiston1 - 1Hornchurch
Kyran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (56')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Leiston win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leiston | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
30.43% ( 0.02) | 23.1% ( -0) | 46.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
