MX23RW : Monday, September 16 12:38:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
0 - 0
Hornchurch


Beard (51'), Black (65'), Bates (90+2')
FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Worthing
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.05%) and 1-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawAFC Hornchurch
37.24% (-0.566 -0.57) 21.93% (-0.182 -0.18) 40.83% (0.747 0.75)
Both teams to score 69.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.66% (0.88800000000001 0.89)30.34% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.4% (1.055 1.06)51.6% (-1.057 -1.06)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (0.145 0.14)17.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.255 0.26)47.67% (-0.256 -0.26)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (0.66300000000001 0.66)15.84% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (1.212 1.21)45.03% (-1.214 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 37.24%
    AFC Hornchurch 40.83%
    Draw 21.93%
WorthingDrawAFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.028 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-2 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 2.57% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.01% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.053 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.18% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 40.83%

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