MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 10:52:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 2
Chelmsford City


Wraight (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crichlow (33'), Ruff (45')
Appiah (19'), Greenidge (30'), Donaldson (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
24.59% (0.496 0.5) 25.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 50.24% (-0.49 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.429 0.43)51.71% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.372 0.37)73.48% (-0.371 -0.37)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.679 0.68)35.88% (-0.675 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.686 0.69)72.65% (-0.685 -0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.13% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 24.59%
    Chelmsford City 50.24%
    Draw 25.16%
AFC HornchurchDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.1% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.59%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.24%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd21117332191340
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood21116436171939
3Weston-super-MareWeston21116434231139
4Truro CityTruro City21115533191438
5Dorking WanderersDorking22107544311337
6Maidstone UnitedMaidstone2199331201136
7Farnborough TownFarnborough2111373530536
8Worthing2110653330336
9Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2110652926336
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels209742721634
11Slough TownSlough2195738271132
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch218762321231
13Hampton & RichmondHampton218672922730
14Chesham UnitedChesham208483030028
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City206773532325
16Chippenham TownChippenham2174102627-125
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2274112945-1625
18Welling UnitedWelling United2173112337-1424
19Salisbury2156102833-521
20Bath City2154121529-1419
21Aveley2143142539-1415
22Enfield Town2143142246-2415
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2128112136-1514
24Weymouth2026121230-1812


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