MX23RW : Monday, September 16 12:39:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
3 - 0
Bath City

Penney (31'), Foyo (72'), Hyde (87')
Gale (35'), Ruff (47'), Appiah (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-5 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
56.64% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.71% (0.188 0.19) 19.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.522 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.713 -0.71)51.06% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.628 -0.63)72.92% (0.631 0.63)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (-0.336 -0.34)17.84% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (-0.583 -0.58)48.6% (0.586 0.59)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66% (-0.387 -0.39)40.35% (0.39 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03% (-0.352 -0.35)76.97% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 56.62%
    Bath City 19.66%
    Draw 23.71%
Chelmsford CityDrawBath City
1-0 @ 12.4% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.97% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.66%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Chelmsford City
3-1
Bath City
Castiglione (43'), Francis (52'), Hockey (83')
Wilson (46')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bath City
2-3
Chelmsford City
Cooke (8' pen., 42' pen.)
Greenslade (45' og.), Hockey (60', 62')
Barnum-Bobb (40')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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3pm
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