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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Harvey (85', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foyo (33')
Donaldson (39'), Ruff (43'), Gale (70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 5-0 Worthing
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawChelmsford City
24.13% (-0.221 -0.22) 24.55% (0.004999999999999 0) 51.31% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.33% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.223 -0.22)49.61% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.201 -0.2)71.63% (0.2 0.2)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.318 -0.32)35.13% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (-0.332 -0.33)71.87% (0.33 0.33)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)51.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 24.14%
    Chelmsford City 51.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Truro CityDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.14%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 9.17% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.16%
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.3%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Truro City
1-4
Chelmsford City
Harvey (11')
Alexander (3' pen., 55'), James (33'), Alfa (42')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Chelmsford City
1-2
Truro City
Ruff (73')
Winfield (85')
Sanders (68'), Greenslade (74')
rhs 2.0
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