Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Truro City	Draw	Chelmsford City
27.61% ( 0.01)	25.2% ( 0.01)	47.18% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.44% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34% (

-0.03)

49.66% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32% (

-0.03)

71.68% (

0.03)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.01)

32.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.01)

68.79% (

0.01)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.03)

21.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.04)

53.88% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Truro City 27.61%

Chelmsford City 47.18%

Draw 25.2%

Truro City	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.61%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.18%