Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Truro City
38.92% ( -0.01)	25.58% ( 0.01)	35.5% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

-0.04)

48.39% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

-0.04)

70.53% (

0.04)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0.02)

24.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

-0.03)

58.93% (

0.04)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.02)

26.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.02)

61.53% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Welling United 38.92%

Truro City 35.5%

Draw 25.58%

Welling United	Draw	Truro City
1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.92%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.5%