Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Belenenses1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 15.27% | 22.13% | 62.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
