Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
75.34% ( 1.28) | 15.77% ( -0.5) | 8.89% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.26% ( -0.24) | 39.73% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( -0.24) | 62.09% ( 0.24) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.07% ( 0.24) | 8.92% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.51% ( 0.57) | 30.49% ( -0.57) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.4% ( -1.83) | 49.6% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% ( -1.31) | 84.38% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.75% Total : 75.32% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.77% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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