Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 17, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Benfica

Sarabia (13'), Paulinho (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nunez (14'), Dias (90+2')
Everton (41'), Vertonghen (51'), Taarabt (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica

This weekend's game sees two of the biggest sides in Portuguese football go head to head and we can expect an exciting contest filled with plenty of goalmouth action. While Benfica are perfectly capable of coming away with all three points, Sporting Lisbon head into the game in especially good form of late and we predict they will cancel out the efforts of the visitors and come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Benfica had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Benfica win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
55.26%	22.42%	22.32%

Both teams to score 57.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73%

42.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33%

64.67%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81%

15.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18%

43.82%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3%

32.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75%

69.25%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 55.26%

Benfica 22.32%

Draw 22.41%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.54% 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 55.26%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.32%