Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
75.65% | 15.54% | 8.81% |
Both teams to score 46.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% | 38.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.35% | 8.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.17% | 29.83% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.88% | 84.12% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
2-0 @ 12.75% 1-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.37% 4-1 @ 4.51% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.6% 6-0 @ 1.27% 6-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 75.63% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.69% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 3.02% 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.1% Total : 8.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |