Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 25, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
0 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Safira (45'), Akas (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Denilson (45+3' pen.), Ferreira (62')
Baixinho (24'), Ferreira (54'), Ferreira (57'), Santos (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Belenenses 0-2 Pacos de Ferreira

Buoyed by their victory over the Gilistas, Pacos de Ferreira will head into Friday's game with renewed confidence and fancy their chances against a struggling Belenenses side. They have been utterly dominant in the history of this fixture, claiming 11 wins and eight draws from their last 20 encounters. We predict Pacos de Ferreira will extend their dominance and pick up their second consecutive league win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Pacos de Ferreira.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
25.78%	28.44%	45.78%

Both teams to score 42.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.48%

62.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.88%

82.12%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16%

40.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59%

77.41%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.85%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 25.78%

Pacos de Ferreira 45.78%

Draw 28.43%

Belenenses	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.28% Total : 25.78%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 14.48% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-3 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.73% Total : 45.78%