Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 13, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Safira (50')
Carraca (34'), Felipe (80'), Lukovic (83'), Nuno (88'), Akas (90'), Sousa (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Borevkovic (9'), Handel (20'), Luz (90+3'), Quaresma (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Belenenses 0-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend with renewed confidence following their impressive win over Braga and will fancy their chances against a floundering Belenenses side. Belenenses have struggled to get going at the back and we predict the visitors will take advantage of their defensive frailties and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.08%	21.12%	62.8%

Both teams to score 50.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.16%

45.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.85%

68.15%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.5%

41.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22%

78%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02%

13.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.51%

41.49%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 16.08%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 62.8%

Draw 21.12%

Belenenses	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 5.1% 2-1 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.08%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.12%	0-1 @ 11.41% 0-2 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-4 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-5 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.7% Total : 62.8%