Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2022 at 6pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Vizela

Santos (42'), Djalo (64')
Pires (23'), Delgado (39'), Djalo (53'), de Brito Gonzaga (63'), Antunes (72'), Carlos (76'), Ferreira (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilson (24')
Samu (45+3'), Claudemir (69'), Schettine (90+5')
Cassiano (8'), Samu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Vizela

With just two points and two places between the sides in the Primeira Liga table, we expect a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel on Saturday. Pacos de Ferreira have struggled for form on home turf this season and we are backing the Vizelenses to hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vizela
38.54%	26.88%	34.57%

Both teams to score 51.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46%

54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.56%

75.43%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72%

27.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28%

62.71%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31%

65.69%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 38.53%

Vizela 34.58%

Draw 26.88%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.58%