Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 22, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 3
Vizela

Agra (12'), Pedro (42' pen.)
Bebeto (39'), dos Anjos (69'), Pedro (77'), Barbosa (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cassiano (16', 87'), Guzzo (72')
Ofori (11'), Samu (31'), Silva (40'), Moreira (51'), Kouao (52'), Bondoso (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After stumbling into the season, Tondela appear to have found their feet in recent weeks, claiming two wins and two draws from four games. Next up is a floundering Vizela side who have lost four of their last five games in all competitions and we are backing CTD Auriverdes to come out with a narrow win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Vizela
37.63%	26.69%	35.68%

Both teams to score 51.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86%

53.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29%

74.71%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14%

62.86%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46%

28.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67%

64.33%

Score Analysis

Tondela 37.62%

Vizela 35.68%

Draw 26.69%

Tondela	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.62%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.68%