After previous poor runs, both sides will now come in with renewed confidence, and we cannot quite pick a winner.
Santa Clara showed an impressive side to their game against Sporting Lisbon and may be further encouraged by the introduction of a new manager, but CDT have what it takes to leave with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.