Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Santa Clara |
36.73% | 29.2% | 34.07% |
Both teams to score 44.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.44% | 62.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.85% | 82.15% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.41% | 32.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.87% | 69.14% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% | 34.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.2% | 0-1 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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