Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Santa Clara |
25.97% | 28.37% | 45.65% |
Both teams to score 43.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.78% | 62.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.1% | 81.9% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.5% | 40.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.89% | 77.1% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% | 27.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.24% | 62.75% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 5.87% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 14.35% 0-2 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.75% Total : 45.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |