Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 30, 2021 at 5pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Denilson (69', 82')
Baixinho (39'), Bastos (45+2'), Carlos (62'), Silva (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morita (41')
Crysan (44'), Ramos (60')
Ramos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Santa Clara

Looking at past encounters between the two sides, we can expect a thrilling contest on Thursday. While Santa Clara have been decent in recent weeks, they have struggled to get going on the road so far. Pacos de Ferreira, meanwhile, are without a win in their last eight home games and we predict both sides will settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
40.71%	28.59%	30.7%

Both teams to score 45.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.93%

61.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.96%

81.04%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56%

29.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57%

65.43%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.76%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 40.7%

Santa Clara 30.7%

Draw 28.59%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.7%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.7%