Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Oct 18, 2020 at 3pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Reabciuk (35'), Tanque (72')
Reabciuk (67'), Diaby-Fadiga (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiago (69')
Cardoso (50'), Thiago (78')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
32.31%	28.89%	38.8%

Both teams to score 44.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.29%

61.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.48%

81.52%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85%

35.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1%

71.9%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.12%

30.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84%

67.16%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 32.3%

Santa Clara 38.8%

Draw 28.88%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.88%	0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.8%