Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
1 - 2
Benfica

Junior (25')
Sergio (28'), Willyan (45+7'), Junior (45+8'), Da Costa (45+15'), Sergio (45+15'), Possignolo (63'), Luquinhas (74')
Moufi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grimaldo (45+7'), Ramos (50')
Vertonghen (41'), Ramos (57'), Bernardo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Benfica

Portimonense have struggled to get going since the turn of the year, picking up five points from their last 27 available. Next up is an opposing side who appear to have hit their stride once again, claiming three wins and two draws from their last five games. Benfica boast a superior and more experienced crop of players and we predict they will make use of this advantage and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
21.6%	23.07%	55.33%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98%

46.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67%

68.33%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52%

35.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.76%

72.24%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51%

16.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79%

46.2%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 21.6%

Benfica 55.33%

Draw 23.06%

Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.6%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.71% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.33%