Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 18, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Bessa

Boavista
2 - 2
Benfica

Sauer (74'), Makouta (80')
Perez (40'), Garcia (47'), Gorre (69'), Musa (84'), Hamache (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Taarabt (21'), Grimaldo (30')
Weigl (15'), Otamendi (27'), Grimaldo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Boavista have struggled to get going since the turn of the year and find themselves languishing in the bottom half of the Primeira Liga standings. They now face a Benfica side who have been imperious in the history of this fixture, claiming 12 wins from their last 16 encounters. We predict a one-sided affair with the visitors coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Benfica
23.2%	22.94%	53.86%

Both teams to score 56.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36%

43.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97%

66.03%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32%

32.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77%

69.23%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85%

16.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.4%

45.6%

Score Analysis

Boavista 23.2%

Benfica 53.86%

Draw 22.94%

Boavista	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.2%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.72% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.86%