Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 12, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Nunez (60' pen., 62')
Silva (24'), Nunez (40'), Weigl (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mohebi (21')
Mohebi (28'), Morita (32'), Barreto (40'), Pereira (45+1'), Villanueva (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Benfica 2-1 Santa Clara

Benfica will head into the game with renewed confidence following their dominant win over Tondela last time out. However, they face a spirited Santa Clara side who have forced their way into the top half of the table after a superb turnaround. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we predict Benfica will come away with a slender win given they head into the game with a significantly-superior and more-experienced squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 3-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
72.85%	17.03%	10.12%

Both teams to score 46.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.28%

41.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.88%

64.13%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.98%

10.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.93%

33.08%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.65%

48.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.51%

83.49%

Score Analysis

Benfica 72.84%

Santa Clara 10.12%

Draw 17.03%

Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 11.14% 3-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 5.66% 4-1 @ 4.11% 5-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.6% 5-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.49% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.24% Total : 72.84%	1-1 @ 8.1% 0-0 @ 4.85% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.7% Total : 17.03%	0-1 @ 3.52% 1-2 @ 2.94% 0-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.38% Total : 10.12%