Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 21, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 1
Portimonense

Lincoln (43')
Carvalho (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moufi (80')
Fernandes (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Santa Clara 2-1 Portimonense

With just two points and two places between the sides in the league standings, we expect a thrilling affair on Monday with plenty of goalmouth action. While Portimonense will put up a fight in search of their first win of the year, we are backing Santa Clara to extend their dominance in this fixture and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Portimonense
45.79%	26.04%	28.17%

Both teams to score 51.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29%

52.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65%

74.34%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.24%

56.76%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53%

33.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9%

70.09%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 45.78%

Portimonense 28.17%

Draw 26.03%

Santa Clara	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.78%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.17%