Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 30, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
1 - 2
Tondela

Angulo (34')
Moufi (47'), Willyan (66'), Ewerton (68')
Relvas (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Undabarrena (80'), Boselli (88')
Barbosa (42'), Quaresma (45+1'), Aviles (45+2'), Augusto (68'), Arcanjo (90+2'), Sagnan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portimonense 1-1 Tondela

With neither side showing any particular form of late, this could prove to be an evenly-matched affair. Despite Portimonense possessing home advantage and a higher place in the table, we fancy Tondea to do enough to claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Tondela
47.55%	27.7%	24.74%

Both teams to score 44.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.25%

60.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.19%

80.8%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32%

25.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42%

60.58%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.22%

40.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.64%

77.35%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 47.55%

Tondela 24.74%

Draw 27.68%

Portimonense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.55%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.74%