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Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 6, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Tondela

Portimonense
3 - 0
Tondela

Beto (14', 54'), Boa Morte (35')
Anzai (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Olabe (65')

Preview: Portimonense vs. Tondela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Portimonense host Tondela in a mid-table scrap in the Primeira Liga at the Estadio Municipal on Saturday.

Portimonense are looking to push up the league ladder at home as they sit 13th in the table, just two points above the congested relegation zone.


Match preview

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Portimonense are coming into this match off the back of a grinding 0-0 draw with rivals Maritimo in their last match.

Results have been up and down for the club over the past two months, with just one win from their past seven matches.

However, in that period Portimonense have at least shown some resilience by picking up three draws during that stretch.

Their opponents, Tondela, remain in ninth spot on the ladder but are just four points above Portimonense.

Portimonense's Dener celebrates scoring against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters
Auriverdes have claimed seven wins from their 21 fixtures this season, but possess a worse defensive record than Portimonense after conceding eight more goals in total so far in 2020-21.

However, their last match was a gritty 1-0 result over Gil Vicente, with Joao Pedro scoring the winner.

The Gold and Greens have won two of their past three league games, but have been far from prolific up front, with their goal return of 22 from 21 fixtures one of the lowest in Portugal.

Tondela will want to end their horrible run of away form that stretches now to eight defeats in a row.

Indeed, Auriverdes are the only team not to have won a single away game in the Primeira Liga this season.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form: LLDWLD

Tondela Primeira Liga form: WLLWLW


Team News

Tondela players challenge for the all against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

For Portimonense both Lucas Possignolo and Lucas Fernandes are unavailable through injury.

There is also injury clouds over both Ricardo Ferreira and Ewerton.

Beto and Aylton Boa Morte remain the two key attacking weapons for the club, with the pair contributing five and three goals respectively in this campaign to date.

Tondela are likely to be without Bebeto, with Pako Ayestaran tipped to replace him in the starting XI.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Willyan, Lucas, Cande; Ewerton, Sa, Dener; Morte, Moreira, Salmani

Tondela possible starting lineup:
Niasse; Ferreira, Tavares, Martinez, Almeida; Agra, Grau, Pedro, Olabe; Murillo, Gonzalez


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 1-1 Tondela


These two sides are evenly matched with not a lot separating them. Both have found it hard to secure victories, with a draw the most likely result.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Tondela

Portimonense
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Tondela
11.1%
9
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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