We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense
Buoyed by their win over Famalicao, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed confidence and look to cause an upset. However, they remain no match for an unbeaten Porto side who have won 13 of the last 14 meetings between the teams. The league leaders have dropped just four points from 14 home games this season and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with a comfortable win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.