Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
7 - 0
Portimonense

Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

We said: Porto 3-0 Portimonense

Buoyed by their win over Famalicao, Portimonense will head into the weekend with renewed confidence and look to cause an upset. However, they remain no match for an unbeaten Porto side who have won 13 of the last 14 meetings between the teams. The league leaders have dropped just four points from 14 home games this season and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Portimonense
77.87%	14.53%	7.6%

Both teams to score 44.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.54%

38.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24%

60.76%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.95%

8.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.67%

28.33%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.21%

51.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.13%

85.87%

Score Analysis

Porto 77.86%

Portimonense 7.6%

Draw 14.53%

Porto	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 13.23% 3-0 @ 11.11% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 7.01% 4-1 @ 4.61% 5-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.52% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.86%	1-1 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.53%	0-1 @ 2.74% 1-2 @ 2.27% 0-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.68% Total : 7.6%