Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril
2 - 0
Portimonense

Mboula (29'), Geraldes (46')
Ferraresi (57'), Franco (84'), Rosier (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Da Costa (36'), Sa (55'), Junior (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Portimonense

On an 11-match winless run, Portimonense will come into this one desperate for a much-needed victory as they look to get their season back on track. While previous results show Estoril Praia are favourites heading into the game, we predict the Canarinhos will hold out for a share of the spoils against an opposing side who have struggled for form in home turf this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
37.58%	27.78%	34.64%

Both teams to score 48.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54%

57.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73%

78.27%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.52%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67%

31.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3%

67.7%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 37.57%

Portimonense 34.64%

Draw 27.77%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.57%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.64%