Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 13, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
4 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
Wendell (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
Hernando (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Following their Europa League defeat against Lyon, Porto will be looking to restore some pride on their return to the Primeira Liga. They face a Tondela side who have struggled for results in the history of this fixture and we are backing the Dregoes to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Tondela
77.81%	14.15%	8.04%

Both teams to score 48.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.26%

34.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.3%

56.7%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78%

7.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.8%

26.19%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.94%

48.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72%

83.27%

Score Analysis

Porto 77.8%

Tondela 8.04%

Draw 14.15%

Porto	Draw	Tondela
2-0 @ 11.98% 3-0 @ 10.5% 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.7% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 5.06% 5-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.85% 6-0 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.06% Total : 77.8%	1-1 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.47% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.15%	0-1 @ 2.54% 1-2 @ 2.45% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.04%