Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
We said: Porto 2-0 Tondela
Following their Europa League defeat against Lyon, Porto will be looking to restore some pride on their return to the Primeira Liga. They face a Tondela side who have struggled for results in the history of this fixture and we are backing the Dregoes to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Tondela |
| 77.81% | 14.15% | 8.04% |
| Both teams to score 48.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.78% | 7.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.19% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.94% | 48.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.72% | 83.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 77.8%
Tondela 8.04%
Draw 14.15%
| Porto | Draw | Tondela |
| 2-0 @ 11.98% 3-0 @ 10.5% 1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 7.7% 4-0 @ 6.91% 4-1 @ 5.06% 5-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.85% 6-0 @ 1.59% 6-1 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.06% Total : 77.8% | 1-1 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.47% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.78% Total : 14.15% | 0-1 @ 2.54% 1-2 @ 2.45% 0-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.04% |
