Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
0 - 1
Lyon

(Lyon win 2-1 on aggregate)

Otavio (74'), Conceicao (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paqueta (59')
Dubois (64')

Liverpool 'send scouts to Porto Europa League game'

Liverpool reportedly had scouts in attendance when Porto squared off against Lyon in the Europa League earlier this week.

Mar 11, 09:18

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Porto and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Tondela vs. Porto
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Clermont vs. Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	37	14	61
8	Lyon	37	14	58
9	Nantes	37	7	54

Lyon have had two extra days preparation for Wednesday's first leg, but we expect a closely-fought contest to be played out between two of the favourites to go all the way in this year's competition. The two teams have an eye for goal and we can see the net rippling at both ends of the pitch, but will little to separate them, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Lyon
58.39%	23.63%	17.97%

Both teams to score 46.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47%

52.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.4%

74.59%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08%

17.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.28%

48.71%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.59%

43.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.37%

79.63%

Score Analysis

Porto 58.38%

Lyon 17.97%

Draw 23.63%

Porto	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 5.5% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.38%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.97%