MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:26:15| >> :120:17464:17464:
Porto
Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
3 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (30', 82'), Evanilson (33')
Uribe (60'), Grujic (64'), Taremi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Khacef (37'), Barbosa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Portuguese Super Cup clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-0 Tondela

While Tondela will be looking to cause the first major upset of the 2022-23 Portuguese campaign, they have struggled for results against Porto, losing each of their last 13 meetings since 2016. Conceicao's men head into the weekend with a new-look squad, but they are capable of coming away with the desired results. Therefore, we predict a one-sided contest with the Dragoes claiming the title in 90 minutes against the CDT Auriverdes, who are winless in 11 consecutive games across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.96%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (2.16%).

Result
PortoDrawTondela
80.38% (0.374 0.37) 12.76% (-0.214 -0.21) 6.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.64% (0.431 0.43)32.35% (-0.437 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.02% (0.501 0.5)53.97% (-0.506 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (0.157 0.16)6.21% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (0.444 0.44)23.46% (-0.448 -0.45)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.65% (-0.12 -0.12)49.34% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)84.2% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Porto 80.38%
    Tondela 6.85%
    Draw 12.76%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.62% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 4.23% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.96% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 80.38%
1-1 @ 6.01% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 12.76%
0-1 @ 2.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 6.85%

How you voted: Porto vs Tondela

Porto
79.2%
Draw
12.5%
Tondela
8.3%
24
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5.15pm
Porto
3-1
Tondela
Taremi (22' pen., 74'), Vitinha (52')
Grujic (77'), Conceicao (86')
Borges (73')
Alves (17'), Barbosa (83')
Mar 13, 2022 6pm
Porto
4-0
Tondela
Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
Wendell (36')

Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
Hernando (66')
Oct 23, 2021 6pm
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Borges (4')
Sagnan (11'), Pedro (23')
Undabarrena (28')
Taremi (19', 43', 79')
Evanilson (14'), Uribe (44'), Pepe (54'), Otavio (73')
Apr 10, 2021 6pm
Tondela
0-2
Porto

Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')
Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
Otavio (60')
Dec 5, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
4-3
Tondela
Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
Uribe (90+3')
Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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