We said: Belenenses 1-2 Boavista
Belenenses have struggled to put together decent performances in the Primeira Liga this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the pile. While they will look to begin their charge from the drop zone, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 games in all competitions. While we expect Belenenses to put up a fight, we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points, albeit by a slender margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.