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Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Boavista

Belenenses
0 - 0
Boavista


Sambu (16'), Henriques (34'), Sousa (50'), Akas (61')
FT

Abascal (77'), Gorre (84'), Garcia (90')

Preview: Belenenses vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to pick up their first consecutive wins away from home this season, Boavista take a trip to the Estadio Nacional do Jamor to face Belenenses on Saturday.

This will be the second meeting between the sides this season after the spoils were shared in an uneventful goalless draw when they locked horns in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

Belenenses snapped their two-match losing streak last Monday when they came from behind to claim a 1-1 draw against fellow relegation battlers Tondela.

In a cagey affair at the Estadio Joao Cardoso, Manu scored in the 32nd minute to put the hosts in front heading into half time before Abel Camara levelled matters in the 63rd minute to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, Franclim Carvalho's men fell to a 2-0 defeat at Gil Vicente on February 19 before returning home to lose by the same scoreline against Pacos de Ferreira six days later.

On a run of just one win from their last nine games, where they have lost six and managed just draws, Belenenses will need to change their fortunes sooner rather than later as they face serious risks of dropping to the second tier.

With 16 points from 26 games, O Belem are currently rooted to the bottom of the Primeira Liga standings, four points behind 17th-placed Moreirense and six off Arouca just outside the relegation zone.

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Boavista failed to make it two wins from two last time out when they had to come from one goal down to salvage a 1-1 draw with Braga.

In a cagey affair at the Estadio do Bessa, Ricardo Horta and Gambian forward Yusupha Njie scored for either side to force a share of the spoils.

This followed a thrilling 3-2 victory over Estoril Praia at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota on February 27 which saw their nine-game winless run come to an end.

Boavista head into Saturday's game unbeaten in each of their last five league outings, claiming four draws and one win, and this somewhat impressive run has seen them pull clear of the relegation places.

Petit's men, who boast the most draws in the division so far this season with 14, have won four and lost seven of their 25 games to collect 26 points and sit in 13th place, five points above the relegation playoff spot.

Boavista will fancy their chances against Belenenses at the Estadio Nacional do Jamor, where they are unbeaten in each of their last five visits since 2015, claiming two wins and four draws in that time.

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D


Team News

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Belenenses will take to the pitch without the services of Portuguese youngster Nilton Varela after the 20-year-old defender sustained an injury against Sporting Lisbon on February 2.

While fellow countryman Rafael Camacho made his return from a two-month injury lay-off in the game against Tondela last time out, Thibang Phete remains out of contention through a groin problem.

Meanwhile, Petit will be unable to call upon the services of 31-year-old defender Felipe Ferreira, who is set to sit out his third consecutive game after picking up an injury against Benfica on February 18.

He is joined in the Os Axadrezados injury table by 22-year-old midfielder Miguel Reisinho, who has been out of action since last August through a knee injury.

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Carraca, Danny, Tavares, Calila; Baraye, Sithole, Nuno, Sousa; Safira, Camara

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Bracali; Ferreira, Cannon, Porozo, Abascal, Santos; Makouta, Gorre, Sauer, Perez; Musa


SM words green background

We say: Belenenses 1-2 Boavista

Belenenses have struggled to put together decent performances in the Primeira Liga this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the pile. While they will look to begin their charge from the drop zone, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 games in all competitions. While we expect Belenenses to put up a fight, we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points, albeit by a slender margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Belenenses vs Boavista

Belenenses
10.5%
Draw
21.1%
Boavista
68.4%
19
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Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 2, 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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