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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
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Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Marseille

Lens
vs.
Marseille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Auxerre
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We say: Lens 1-2 Marseille

 Lens have not looked the most convincing in recent weeks, falling to consecutive defeats and only getting over the line very late against Nantes. The home side's defence has looked less secure recently with many absentees, and a potent Marseille attack that has loved playing away from home this season could take advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 33.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Marseille win is 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result
LensDrawMarseille
40.58% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 33.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 55.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)48.96% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.05% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.07% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 40.58%
    Marseille 33.77%
    Draw 25.64%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.77%

Who will win Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille?

Lens
Draw
Marseille
Lens
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Marseille
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
Marseille
2-1
Lens
Aubameyang (1'), Gueye (85')
Gueye (41'), Balerdi (63')
Said (77')
Danso (54'), Wahi (64')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lens
1-0
Marseille
Gradit (90')
Gradit (44'), Abdul Samed (76')

Lodi (37'), Oliveira (45+2')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lens
2-1
Marseille
Fofana (42'), Openda (60')
Payet (88')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
0-1
Lens
Costa (78')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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