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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Marseille

Montpellier
0 - 5
Marseille


Nzingoula (28')
Dzodic (64')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Wahi (1'), Harit (36'), Hojbjerg (40'), Greenwood (58'), Henrique (73')
Cornelius (19'), Rowe (51'), Sternal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Angers
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-4 Marseille

 Marseille have conceded in all of their last 25 away Ligue 1 games - the worst run of any team in Europe's top-five leagues - and a manager like De Zerbi will not be focusing on correcting that. However, with the talent they have in attack, the visitors should have enough to outscore a Montpellier side that has the worst defensive record in the division, and in doing so, return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
29.71% (-1.3 -1.3) 24.72% (-0.224 -0.22) 45.57% (1.523 1.52)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62% (0.376 0.38)46.38% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.355 0.36)68.66% (-0.355 -0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.69199999999999 -0.69)29.07% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (-0.862 -0.86)64.98% (0.861 0.86)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.833 0.83)20.43% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (1.307 1.31)52.87% (-1.308 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 29.71%
    Marseille 45.57%
    Draw 24.72%
Montpellier HSCDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.71%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.198 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.125 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.13 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.57%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Marseille

Montpellier HSC
15.2%
Draw
6.1%
Marseille
78.8%
99
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Ndiaye (31'), Aubameyang (43', 62' pen.), Sacko (82' og.)
Aubameyang (32'), Harit (65')
Al Tamari (5')
Sylla (32'), Hefti (48'), Sagnan (75'), Kouyate (87')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Montpellier
1-1
Marseille
Fayad (14')
Jullien (44'), Savanier (90+3')
Veretout (52')
Gigot (55')
> Preview
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Guendouzi (44' pen.)
Nordin (12')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Marseille
2-0
Montpellier
Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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