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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nantes

Montpellier
1 - 3
Nantes

Adams (30')
Nzingoula (85'), Ferri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Abline (24'), Simon (45+7' pen.), Mohamed (85')
Coco (81'), Lafont (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Nantes

 Finding their shooting boots on the road will be important for Nantes, as they have now gone almost six hours since their last league goal away from home - which conveniently enough came on this ground back in April. While Nantes have only won one home game in 2024, form on the road has been much better, with five wins and four draws from 11 games, and paired with Montpellier's poor record at home, the visitors may just have the edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
38.67% (0.42 0.42) 28.03% (0.13 0.13) 33.3% (-0.546 -0.55)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45% (-0.54 -0.54)58.55% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88% (-0.422 -0.42)79.12% (0.426 0.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)29.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.38% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)32.79% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.728 -0.73)69.35% (0.732 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 38.66%
    Nantes 33.3%
    Draw 28.02%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 38.66%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 10.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes

Montpellier HSC
13.5%
Draw
18.9%
Nantes
67.6%
37
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Adams (2')
Savanier (24'), Tchato (45')
Mincarelli (90+1'), Nordin (90+5')
Abline (7')
Sissoko (45+5')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Mollet (44'), Bamba (74')
Mollet (65'), Bamba (75')

Kouyate (90+2')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 36
Nantes
0-3
Montpellier

Merlin (20'), Moutoussamy (49'), Mollet (58'), Blas (77')
Ferri (38'), Nordin (47'), Sacko (88')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Montpellier
0-3
Nantes
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 27
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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