We said: Nantes 0-1 Montpellier HSC
The shackles are off for Montpellier as they look to finish the season on a high, so we expect the visitors to extend Nantes' winless run in 13 matches by notching a narrow victory at the Stade de la Beaujoire, piling more pressure on the relegation-threatened Canaries.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.