Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lorient

Maouassa (90+4')
Ferri (33'), Kouyate (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Faivre (68')
Meite (25'), Kone (38'), Le Fee (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 5-4 Montpellier
Sunday, May 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Brest
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Lorient

Montpellier are unbeaten against Lorient in their last 12 meetings, and will fancy they can score the goals to get them another result here. Despite a recent resurgence, Lorient's season has turned into a mess during 2023, and they may struggle against one of the league's best attacking outfits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
51.39% ( -0.07)	22.98% ( 0.02)	25.63% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

-0.03)

41.38% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

-0.03)

63.78% (

0.03)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

-0.03)

16.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3% (

-0.07)

45.7% (

0.07)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

0.03)

29.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

0.03)

65.46% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 51.39%

Lorient 25.63%

Draw 22.97%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lorient
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.63%