Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
51.39% ( -0.07) | 22.98% ( 0.02) | 25.63% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.62% ( -0.03) | 41.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.22% ( -0.03) | 63.78% ( 0.03) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.79% ( -0.03) | 16.21% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.3% ( -0.07) | 45.7% ( 0.07) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( 0.03) | 29.45% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( 0.03) | 65.46% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |