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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille

FT

Malinovskyi (84'), Balerdi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's superb record on the road cannot be ignored, and they should not lack any inspiration as the Ligue 1 title could still be up for grabs. As Lorient also lack their old attacking verve, OM should out-score their hosts and pick up three valuable points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
18.09% (-0.397 -0.4) 22.66% (-0.273 -0.27) 59.26% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.534 0.53)48.99% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.482 0.48)71.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.143 -0.14)40.91% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.131 -0.13)77.48% (0.13 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.417 0.42)16.18% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.754 0.75)45.64% (-0.754 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.09%
    Marseille 59.25%
    Draw 22.65%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.98% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.25%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
2.0%
Draw
6.1%
Marseille
91.8%
49
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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