Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Toulouse2 - 3Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 0-2 Marseille
We should see a different-looking Toulouse side who seem to have settled down nicely since some shaky performances at the end of 2022. However, the depth of Marseille and their ability to remain calm and organised when pressed at the back can frustrate opposing teams, while they have plenty of dependable players in attack who can get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
20.16% ( 0.17) | 22.33% ( 0.11) | 57.5% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
