MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 19:43:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Brest logo

Toulouse
1 - 1
Brest

Aboukhlal (65')
Dejaegere (42'), Rouault (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mounie (18')
Brassier (37'), Lees-Melou (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Lille
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Brest

Although Brest are yet to concede in either of their two matches since Roy's managerial appointment, we are struggling to see beyond the hosts winning this match quite comfortably in the end. Toulouse have bagged 14 goals across their last three victories, and while that type of rate may prove unsustainable, they are definitely capable of securing a third successive league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawBrest
52.17% (-0.489 -0.49) 23.81% (0.169 0.17) 24.02% (0.323 0.32)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)46.58% (0.414 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.387 -0.39)68.85% (0.39 0.39)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)17.84% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (-0.585 -0.59)48.59% (0.588 0.59)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.057000000000002 0.06)33.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.062999999999999 0.06)70.21% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 52.17%
    Brest 24.02%
    Draw 23.8%
ToulouseDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.8%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 24.02%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Brest

Toulouse
74.3%
Draw
11.4%
Brest
14.3%
35
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
2-5
Brest
Diakite (16', 21')
Vainqueur (84')
Court (7'), Charbonnier (72', 77'), Mbock (79'), Cardona (85')
Aug 10, 2019 7pm
Brest
1-1
Toulouse
Autret (25')
Koulouris (89')
Mar 9, 2013 7pm
Oct 27, 2012 7pm
Toulouse
3-1
Brest
Capoue (40'), Yedder (29'), Regattin (90')
Aurier (59')
Lesoimier (75')
Chafni (61'), Lesoimier (85')
May 2, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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