MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:20:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Brest logo

Nice
1 - 0
Brest

Laborde (54')
Boudaoui (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Le Douaron (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Reims
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-1 Brest

Both sides have gradually improved in recent weeks, but we think Nice will have enough to edge this contest considering their current unbeaten run, and their position in the table. The visitors have had more joy on their travels than on their own patch this season, but only three teams have conceded more goals than Brest, suggesting Laborde could expose their defence here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
54.76% (0.175 0.17) 24.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 20.89% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.94% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (0.216 0.22)52.1% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.186 0.19)73.82% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (0.151 0.15)18.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (0.249 0.25)50.44% (-0.249 -0.25)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)39.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (0.023 0.02)76.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nice 54.75%
    Brest 20.89%
    Draw 24.34%
NiceDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Nice vs Brest

Nice
87.2%
Draw
7.7%
Brest
5.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Brest
0-3
Nice
Dolberg (13'), Delort (79'), Gouiri (90+3')
Kluivert (25'), Benitez (55'), Todibo (65')
Schneiderlin (20')
Oct 2, 2021 8pm
Nice
2-1
Brest
Todibo (45'), Bard (61')
Rosario (72')
Honorat (90+1')
Mbock (90+4')
May 9, 2021 2pm
Nice
3-2
Brest
Lopes (38'), Boudaoui (61'), Kamara (89')
Todibo (70')
Lees-Melou (52')
Mounie (4', 43')
Lucas (64')
Jan 6, 2021 6pm
Brest
2-0
Nice
Mounie (23'), Honorat (28')
Honorat (52'), Lasne (72')

Saliba (11'), Gouiri (63'), Mahou (90+1')
Feb 21, 2020 6pm
Nice
2-2
Brest
Ounas (23'), Dolberg (33')
da Silva (6'), Herelle (19'), Nsoki (60')
Grandsir (45'), Dante (53' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille5410156913
4Lille6312117410
5Lens624052310
6Nice622214688
7NantesNantes52217438
8Reims52217708
9Rennes621310917
10StrasbourgStrasbourg5131111016
11Auxerre6204812-46
12Brest6204813-56
13Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
14Toulouse512246-25
15Lyon5113611-54
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne5104115-143
18Angers502339-62


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